TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd09…05b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$7,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$2,400
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,816Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,537.45
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,899.94
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24,283Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,282.94
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,380
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,040
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$231.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$853.14
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$9,539.99
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,290.45
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.86
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.78
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$919.97
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,674Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,674.33
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$114.4
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$981.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$3,383.34
Will San Marino win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.71
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.27
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,736.3
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,150
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$1,529.83
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$7,550
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,979Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,978.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,452Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$3,924.13
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,850.45
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,556Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$3,150.26
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,209.83
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,399.97
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.32
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,560.35
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,825.94
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,537.29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.2
Devils vs. Starsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$609.99
Golden Knights vs. Jetsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,640
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,589.99
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+71.5%+$11.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$8.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$17.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,649.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.