TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,121,610

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,121,610 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No29c140,998$40,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,889.363751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No21c112,439$23,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,379.710536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes72c101,243$73,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,194.8413245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes72c97,770$70,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,249.7329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No30c95,760$28,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,728128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No12c89,584$10,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,992.561,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c62,109$47,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,506.2958248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No30c48,536$14,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,420.646442.2%27 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No29c41,326$11,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,968.6315442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes70c34,872$24,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,461.566844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No27c24,293$6,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,559.1643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes70c23,356$16,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,978.9961447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No27c21,580$5,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,912.492030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed Yes73c20,547$15,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,546.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0008836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No27c19,326$5,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,241.811,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No27c18,736$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,991.74742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes71c18,644$13,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,443.53871.1%27 W · 11 L+8.8wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+70.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No29c18,489$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.233141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No27c17,250$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No27c16,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.895347.2%25 W · 28 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No0c15,409$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97382.6%1 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick4cpaid+31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No30c15,167$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-57.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No24c15,092$3,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,665.6534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes71c14,475$10,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,238.4916144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes70c14,385$10,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,315.5312848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No21c14,309$3,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,028.1246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No27c14,133$3,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,785.426047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes74c12,500$9,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2504276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No28c11,110$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1338938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No28c10,800$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.965549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No17c10,728$1,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.0443333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122c…b48fbacked Yes72c10,392$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes70c10,381$7,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,114.0459441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No28c10,000$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.985248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.941330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No30c9,953$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,985.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No9c9,675$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.235729.8%17 W · 40 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+162.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No27c9,500$2,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.985944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x893a…29dcbacked Yes74c9,427$6,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,451.03450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No17c9,416$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.5520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No29c9,134$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6491838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No30c8,928$2,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,678.45341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No31c8,700$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6978231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No30c8,261$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.234544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No29c7,700$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,232.99922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c7,648$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.6739443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes70c7,232$5,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.6628543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Yes71c7,046$5,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.434759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…56a3backed Yes70c7,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf84a…eea7backed Yes71c6,913$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No28c6,820$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.391323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No30c6,780$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes71c6,635$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.244573.3%33 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No30c6,486$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes70c5,991$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes73c5,700$4,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No28c5,500$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5453839.5%15 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No27c5,152$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.977346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d3…22d1backed No29c4,515$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.371526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6e…2a01backed No30c4,260$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No28c4,250$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No30c4,228$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes73c4,223$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.341668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+128.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No17c4,090$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.932748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No29c4,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes70c3,992$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.9610648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed No27c3,920$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-74.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.132536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No27c3,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9452951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…47acbacked Yes71c3,486$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes71c3,344$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6610736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9d7…5946backed Yes76c3,289$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.471040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Yes71c3,220$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No30c3,220$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.9437753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes71c3,118$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.25650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes75c3,050$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.615446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No30c2,892$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.72532%8 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c2,870$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0159136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.13839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.93661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes71c2,817$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.91225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes71c2,800$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.153336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eaf…01cabacked Yes72c2,636$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.351353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No27c2,538$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.395350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb416…c7a1backed Yes71c2,520$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.721040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No27c2,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67510748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed No14c2,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No27c2,400$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6483043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No29c2,397$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a86…4216backed Yes71c2,386$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.02580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes71c2,293$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.1429350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes71c2,249$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.245145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6602050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1324…3931backed Yes73c2,121$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes71c2,120$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.89757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No29c2,115$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.353447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No29c2,097$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.982825%7 W · 21 L-7.3wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.