Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c811b733d800f4af032fdf968af52da30e06d268ff3c430aa90a9eda2a038a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,121,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,121,610 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 29c | 140,998$40,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,889.36 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 21c | 112,439$23,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,379.7 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 72c | 101,243$73,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,194.84 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 72c | 97,770$70,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,249.73 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed No | 30c | 95,760$28,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,728 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 89,584$10,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,992.56 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 62,109$47,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,506.29 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 30c | 48,536$14,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,420.64 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 29c | 41,326$11,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,968.63 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 70c | 34,872$24,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,461.56 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 24,293$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.16 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 70c | 23,356$16,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,978.99 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 27c | 21,580$5,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,912.49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Yes | 73c | 20,547$15,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,546.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 19,326$5,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,241.81 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 27c | 18,736$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 71c | 18,644$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,443.5 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 29c | 18,489$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 27c | 17,250$4,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 27c | 16,000$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.89 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 15,409$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked No | 30c | 15,167$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 15,092$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.65 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 71c | 14,475$10,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.49 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 70c | 14,385$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.53 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 14,309$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.12 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 27c | 14,133$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,785.4 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 74c | 12,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 28c | 11,110$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 28c | 10,800$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.96 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 17c | 10,728$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.04 | 433 | 33.5%145 W · 288 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…b48fbacked Yes | 72c | 10,392$7,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 70c | 10,381$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.04 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 28c | 10,000$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…05b2backed No | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked No | 30c | 9,953$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 9c | 9,675$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.23 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 27c | 9,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.98 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Yes | 74c | 9,427$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 17c | 9,416$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.55 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 29c | 9,134$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 30c | 8,928$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 31c | 8,700$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 30c | 8,261$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 29c | 7,700$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 7,648$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.67 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 70c | 7,232$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.66 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Yes | 71c | 7,046$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.43 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…56a3backed Yes | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84a…eea7backed Yes | 71c | 6,913$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 28c | 6,820$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 30c | 6,780$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 71c | 6,635$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.24 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 30c | 6,486$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 70c | 5,991$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 73c | 5,700$4,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 28c | 5,500$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed No | 27c | 5,152$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 29c | 4,515$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.37 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 30c | 4,260$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 28c | 4,250$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.98 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 30c | 4,228$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 73c | 4,223$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 17c | 4,090$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 29c | 4,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.95 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 70c | 3,992$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.96 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 27c | 3,920$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 27c | 3,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…47acbacked Yes | 71c | 3,486$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 71c | 3,344$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.66 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…5946backed Yes | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Yes | 71c | 3,220$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 30c | 3,220$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.94 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 71c | 3,118$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 75c | 3,050$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 30c | 2,892$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 2,870$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.01 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Yes | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 71c | 2,800$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaf…01cabacked Yes | 72c | 2,636$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed No | 27c | 2,538$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.39 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed Yes | 71c | 2,520$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed No | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 27c | 2,400$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…af8bbacked No | 29c | 2,397$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4216backed Yes | 71c | 2,386$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 71c | 2,293$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.14 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 71c | 2,249$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.24 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Yes | 70c | 2,200$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…3931backed Yes | 73c | 2,121$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 71c | 2,120$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.8 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 29c | 2,115$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.35 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 29c | 2,097$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.98 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -7.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-18?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.