TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e75…50d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6749.3%33 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$120
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$135.99
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$103.32
Cincinnati Open: Magdalena Frech vs Elena Rybakinabacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.84
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Katy Dunnebacked Katy Dunne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+236.7%+$186.29
HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paulbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$102.7
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$103.6
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$316.54
HSBC Championships: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
HSBC Championships: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Corentin Moutetbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulterbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$121.5
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritzbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoebacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+497.4%+$863.7
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$542.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+43.3%+$454.55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+196.6%+$393.3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$63.2
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$385
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$96.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$149.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$122.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$123.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$996.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.