TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c08…eba9backed No60c505.7$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.193666.7%24 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes41c488.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200147.1%1 W · 13 L-6.2wins-0.44per pick51cpaid-84.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes31c487.86$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6935819%68 W · 290 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked No74c485.22$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9413738%52 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked No71c464.24$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1361435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes29c443.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7531241.7%130 W · 182 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+66.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf6…cf40backed Yes30c398.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.883528.6%10 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-48.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4806…f907backed Yes30c328.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a8…8b4dbacked No71c311.4$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No64c310.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.792755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c3…ac4cbacked Yes32c308.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes37c252.06$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.313941%16 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes43c220$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.63438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed No69c218$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No61c217.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6549023.5%115 W · 375 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc90…00aebacked No67c205$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x271c…af47backed Yes29c159.76$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes29c155$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7512524.8%31 W · 94 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No68c149.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.994050%20 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3069…f8efbacked No70c143.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.594757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed15…14dfbacked Yes35c141.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed No70c135$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.454100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+121.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5e…23d8backed Yes35c127$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes16c122.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.034427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No69c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5145843.7%200 W · 258 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f6…2f7ebacked No59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+128.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked No69c115$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6752…fafbbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522846.1%105 W · 123 L+22.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+17.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5018…398bbacked Yes31c99.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No69c99.56$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0721751.6%112 W · 105 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes19c98.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151,5587.2%112 W · 1,446 L-35.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55dd…8702backed No72c97.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.339100%9 W · 0 L+4.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+130.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xab7b…f350backed No66c95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.897067.1%47 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed No65c90.01$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.53429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked Yes31c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa25…54b2backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7860…07a8backed No63c81.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.033080%24 W · 6 L+8.6wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+60.4%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x331b…193fbacked No80c81.15$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.231553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca3…ff10backed No69c72.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+215.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd5d6…be1fbacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc39b…5754backed Yes31c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f5…0febbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Yes31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc534…b734backed No63c63.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.613933.3%13 W · 26 L-7.4wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed No69c63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+119.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e75…50d7backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…77abbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.740828.9%118 W · 290 L-29.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76a3…aecabacked Yes34c59.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5481…2841backed No68c58.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1160…e3f7backed Yes43c57.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c56…9774backed Yes35c57.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked No69c56.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes28c55.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4667841.6%282 W · 396 L-20.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52e4…7d32backed No61c54.97$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.441877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2877…dc5bbacked Yes31c53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed No55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa796…dddebacked No71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed No67c40.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.318151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed No65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x388e…2078backed No70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.29153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b3b…a2d3backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-80.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb868…ca9bbacked Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Yes31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Yes31c39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0940%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes31c38.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8586542.3%366 W · 499 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758a…f23cbacked No69c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a99…2cfabacked Yes36c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.431540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f82…5716backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa58c…a1e2backed No78c30.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.513342.1%56 W · 77 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958f…a83cbacked No70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.8wins-0.32per pick60cpaid-53.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed No65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54450%22 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…6b74backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e1…b3c6backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf4…d85fbacked No66c27.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.9wins-0.44per pick71cpaid-59.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8911…d388backed Yes37c26.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…e5c9backed No75c26.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…2ba5backed No66c22.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa712…bcddbacked No70c20.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.224100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+117.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdfdb…703dbacked No66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.88235.4%29 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…d234backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e887backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf04e…2773backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.28100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f49…9cc3backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcca…da80backed No67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.