Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27fda74568efbbd888f14114fc1956db3b0a19fd780eabff58f8ea14d63d189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,044$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 39c | 904.45$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.33 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f30…6b5cbacked Yes | 32c | 825.14$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 39c | 629.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 62c | 449$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 62c | 362$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.36 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 62c | 261$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 64c | 255.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 61c | 250$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 42c | 247.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked No | 64c | 234.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…76f2backed No | 77c | 187.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked No | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 40c | 165.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 159.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8f3fbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…d784backed No | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Yes | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 39c | 110.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed No | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…0bc3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb8…5e8fbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed No | 61c | 98.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 62c | 97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…f158backed No | 63c | 95.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +578.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Yes | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 55c | 90.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed No | 65c | 80.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 54c | 73.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked No | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…26dfbacked No | 65c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 63c | 66.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106c…ad5dbacked No | 65c | 61.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 59.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 62c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Yes | 37c | 56.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…03c0backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed No | 64c | 51.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 52c | 46.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 55c | 44.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…2841backed No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 29c | 43.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…abf8backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 38cpaid | +240.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked No | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…dbb4backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 33.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf7…3033backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 36c | 31.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…ed09backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked No | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.9wins | -0.44per pick | 71cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…b3c6backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…e3f7backed No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 75c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.8wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbcca…da80backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.