Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe515c5b2a44798d73c44f72bd265a6169f7a73c16a481897a5b514b8807259b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 41c | 3,366$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.39 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 67c | 1,220$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.85 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…dc46backed No | 53c | 1,100$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed No | 76c | 827.57$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 40c | 499.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 48c | 432.89$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.45 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 39c | 406.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked No | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 28c | 399.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 56c | 378.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab2…8464backed No | 64c | 331.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 43c | 282.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.34 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 43c | 282.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked No | 70c | 264.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 43c | 225.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 76c | 196.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 43c | 190$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked No | 56c | 179.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 55c | 178.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…fafbbacked Yes | 45c | 178$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed No | 60c | 167.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 38c | 166.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 62c | 160.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 43c | 159$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 58c | 155.96$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…d453backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f7…f6f2backed No | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 60c | 139.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yes | 36c | 131.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 47c | 116.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 43c | 104.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…7679backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…8702backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked Yes | 49c | 99.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 42c | 98.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed Yes | 45c | 93.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…abd4backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 44c | 89.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…b705backed No | 59c | 87.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 83.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…87b9backed No | 60c | 82.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked Yes | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…9a55backed No | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…b3fabacked No | 54c | 73.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Yes | 48c | 70.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 45c | 66.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…5514backed Yes | 44c | 64.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed No | 60c | 61.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…ef7fbacked Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…ed09backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa769…8a2abacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 40c | 49.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Yes | 48c | 49.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 48c | 47.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…c5abbacked Yes | 46c | 43.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 40.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 42c | 39.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…189bbacked No | 60c | 35.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…2704backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…ef27backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…ae6dbacked No | 54c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…fbacbacked No | 58c | 21.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…9d20backed No | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…68c5backed No | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed No | 52c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed No | 59c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed No | 59c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.