Middle East · resolved market

Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba751f01b5835ad135ba7843d4cc6f3a955a2e7244a236180274251badc344c3

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 11, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,239

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3c2…ce86backed Yes	6c	10,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…904abacked Yes	9c	3,804$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa978…01f6backed Yes	9c	1,406$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…c06fbacked Yes	8c	1,331$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc833…0234backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	6c	1,200$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-3.1wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	4c	983.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.16	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	-5.7wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-72%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	963.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	1,558	7.2%112 W · 1,446 L	-35.1wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	5c	670.65$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.65	358	19%68 W · 290 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584c…bf45backed Yes	9c	556.77$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8f3fbacked Yes	6c	499.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	3c	494.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c6e…5884backed Yes	7c	340$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	9c	282.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.44	490	23.5%115 W · 375 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Yes	9c	201.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.18	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	6c	183.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	155	23.2%36 W · 119 L	+12.1wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32db…fcdcbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f01…548cbacked Yes	11c	176.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e1…802abacked Yes	11c	174$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ba…a074backed Yes	8c	142.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…77abbacked Yes	9c	137.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa526…34aabacked Yes	11c	132.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97c…55b2backed Yes	8c	128.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b46…dc96backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5938…db21backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x271c…af47backed Yes	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-60%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b3…5933backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ec…13acbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event