Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b2bf4879327ce2a4900b6aab0decdadda3a7e248ac1151bbb9e55d61ae80f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73dc…d8ddbacked Yes | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…88cdbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf36…c9eabacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…b370backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5a0fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…2198backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bb…33edbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…b651backed No | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 513.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 40c | 348$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Yes | 62c | 325.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 70c | 283.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 27c | 279.15$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 30c | 256.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 54c | 256.75$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Yes | 30c | 250.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 42c | 244.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 40c | 244$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…18d1backed No | 68c | 215.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 48c | 193.79$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 46c | 180$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 68c | 178$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 170.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9a…dc46backed No | 45c | 159.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 41c | 154.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 55c | 152$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 67c | 148.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 144.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed No | 40c | 143$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 54c | 120.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 39c | 114.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 155 | 23.2%36 W · 119 L | +12.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…dbb4backed Yes | 22c | 109.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 57c | 104.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Yes | 60c | 102$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f01…548cbacked Yes | 50c | 101.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…ad87backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed No | 48c | 95.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…abd4backed Yes | 43c | 92.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed No | 38c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked Yes | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Yes | 60c | 88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 60c | 85.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Yes | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Yes | 60c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Yes | 58c | 77.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 60c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 29c | 75.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac96…7ec2backed Yes | 29c | 68.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -6.2wins | -0.33per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Yes | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…b3c6backed Yes | 45c | 66.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Yes | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 61.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 50c | 58.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 40c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 40c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked No | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 35cpaid | +197.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…4737backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x303c…4487backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…b18fbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +108%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 60c | 46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x591b…807cbacked No | 46c | 43.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed Yes | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…a1e2backed Yes | 35c | 37.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…ab65backed Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…9774backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +355.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…fe10backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -8.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…dddebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe260…6168backed No | 44c | 33.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf233…8127backed No | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef0…a35abacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 38c | 29.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…9cc3backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x271c…af47backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…8b7cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…fb05backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…a00cbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…45d2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f2…68c5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…48f5backed No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine / Russia" 5+ times during Syria President events on November 10?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "Abraham Accords" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crown" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Dancing" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Eight wars" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hottest" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Israel / Gaza" 6+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 12+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Nuclear" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Please" 7+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Sanction" 2+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.