TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb959…b18f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$9.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$24.47
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.21
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+108.7%+$27.19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$46.67
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1291.7%11 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick76cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$3.86
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+46.4%+$11.61
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-72.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$6.65
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.63
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UTEP vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chloe Kelly be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.