TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$864,655
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$968,216

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,655 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 859 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No31c167,702$51,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,538.851,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes68c151,699$102,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,125.532626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes68c70,000$47,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,399.9910543.8%46 W · 59 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c50,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9217853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No31c40,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,399.983842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No34c38,536$12,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,932.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No32c34,744$11,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,051.2614952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes67c33,173$22,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,959.923056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No34c29,411$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.732025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No33c28,139$9,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,329.794555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13de…e133backed Yes67c24,536$16,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,215.093100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No33c24,535$8,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,031.1612536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes70c22,621$15,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,791.3416136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes70c21,619$15,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.945040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc248…c014backed Yes68c20,774$14,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,737.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c20,178$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,860.48231.7%26 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…0d06backed Yes67c18,654$12,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No31c15,918$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.518241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0982…f5fdbacked No35c15,800$5,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,53010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes66c15,259$10,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,225.051533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf0…153ebacked No31c12,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,719.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No32c12,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9639746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No33c11,424$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.626653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No32c11,132$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,559.3736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c10,815$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7808836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c10,310$6,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.6629846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No31c9,816$3,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,042.918259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d14…7d52backed Yes66c8,400$5,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Yes67c8,301$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbac…105fbacked Yes66c8,200$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No31c8,149$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.497052.9%37 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes69c7,246$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.385056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes69c7,206$4,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes66c7,123$4,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.93655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No32c6,400$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.9619028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No32c5,756$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.5310850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.931030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes62c4,999$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.624158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No33c4,688$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.785444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes67c4,522$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.449146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No33c4,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9520948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes69c4,346$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.382479.2%19 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No34c4,185$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.062250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes78c4,096$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.2210051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Yes68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No32c4,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9822147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…39dabacked No35c3,886$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No28c3,833$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.889043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No30c3,760$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.4938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No34c3,592$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.191637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick21cpaid+98.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c3,427$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.0620343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes67c3,327$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-47.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No20c3,198$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.355529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0805…31c0backed Yes66c3,051$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.56850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d7b…6e23backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No33c3,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5e…7ab3backed No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9518160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes66c2,976$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No33c2,946$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.331421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Yes69c2,900$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes69c2,510$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.982835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes67c2,334$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.676858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes64c2,281$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.094143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc876…faa5backed Yes67c2,217$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.971070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes70c2,199$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes69c2,173$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.631050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6805038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6c…1c08backed Yes68c1,650$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf51…4b53backed Yes66c1,626$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed1…662ebacked Yes69c1,574$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4140…0272backed Yes66c1,537$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…55aabacked No35c1,536$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa147…5093backed Yes66c1,535$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…2b82backed No35c1,535$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No32c1,515$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.1417658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b6…896ebacked Yes66c1,513$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes69c1,502$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.271662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Yes67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5109643.8%42 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…fd01backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.991428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7272…dab3backed Yes68c1,470$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf84f…005fbacked No33c1,470$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b30…30cfbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.282842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62d8…1a4abacked Yes68c1,439$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes66c1,427$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.263652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes78c1,424$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.211,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked No32c1,331$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…7d07backed Yes67c1,300$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-50.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No32c1,250$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.982218.2%4 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes65c1,201$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.055100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed No36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.835048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes64c1,199$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.939336.6%34 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes66c1,135$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.255246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.