Champions League · resolved market
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cca99209ccd06b8457bd4cc6a85d836e09f46a45ce76cfa10e6b137a2bae77b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 15,102$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.19 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 14c | 9,520$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.97 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 15c | 7,093$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.96 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 7,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Yes | 11c | 6,200$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 14c | 3,800$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.07 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 3,050$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 13c | 2,103$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 13c | 1,812$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…e835backed Yes | 15c | 1,519$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 799$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 10c | 770.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 12c | 734.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.09 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 633.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7e…1d5abacked Yes | 16c | 593.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 3c | 553.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 9c | 530$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 15c | 503$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3d12backed Yes | 12c | 502.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 14c | 499.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 11c | 442.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 12c | 425.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 13c | 372.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…e8e8backed Yes | 14c | 353.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 9c | 320.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 14c | 314.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 13c | 306.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 14c | 284$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 11c | 253.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…86f3backed Yes | 16c | 244.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 8c | 228$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 180$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcf…78a2backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 15c | 146.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…1787backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…5432backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Yes | 13c | 139.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…5788backed Yes | 14c | 125.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa455…36bcbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…aa7bbacked Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…9750backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf954…0517backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 14c | 91.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…da8bbacked Yes | 14c | 73.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…515fbacked Yes | 16c | 69.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.