TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7253…505a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5131.4%16 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,848Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,848.33
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,590
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$940
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.89
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.7
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,074Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$4,026
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.97
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$145.8
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$599.4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
Mavericks vs. Celticsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$116.5
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$32.57
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+164.6%+$87.71
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$119.4
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Chris Paul not sign with or be traded to a new team?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,547.21
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,938Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$6,116.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,599.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$726
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+38.9%+$72.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$186
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.31
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$468
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.2
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.3
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$5,885Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,884.62
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.47
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,756.81
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.06
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$222
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+109.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+118.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$185
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick7cpaid+1,438.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,438.5%+$149.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+343.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+343.1%+$5,181.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$110.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$160.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$129
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $850M and $900M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$76.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.