Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e41b19fa97ce2342ede6d745f1690100881cc8031ccc181c3dd40c2e5a6c7a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,700$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.46 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 73c | 2,802$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.72 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 1,517$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.23 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 3c | 1,019$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 35c | 867$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 772.55$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.74 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 35c | 714$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 24c | 551.53$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 40c | 548$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 59c | 338$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 36c | 300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 253.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 34c | 190.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 36c | 154.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 141.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 39c | 101.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 83.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 59c | 67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…9439backed Yes | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…834fbacked Yes | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…491abacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 35c | 44.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…c35dbacked Yes | 41c | 42.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 59c | 42.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…7112backed Yes | 35c | 38.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +56%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Yes | 46c | 21.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.