Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d62d74f0208a1932faa0727b2102556abd0790a7f062c22c4e9e21656ffeca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,633$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.58 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 1,922$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.82 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,823$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.52 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 31c | 1,685$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.35 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 807.18$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 285.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 69c | 234$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 25c | 144.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 74c | 128.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 69c | 127$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…ccc2backed Yes | 31c | 116.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 30c | 82.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 60.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…c35dbacked Yes | 30c | 58.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 52.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 50.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…bdc9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Yes | 33c | 37.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 65c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.