Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c93f76a85e79a5ba5b346a813e05c2152120168c868e32c061350fa2657d94e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 7,696$2,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.88 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 42c | 6,325$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 5,252$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 4,913$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.72 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 4,026$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.29 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 3,574$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.24 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 66c | 3,117$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.69 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 50c | 2,770$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.64 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 40c | 2,204$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.02 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 64c | 1,409$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.7 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 1,365$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.08 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 1,227$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.87 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…2c00backed Yes | 36c | 705.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 64c | 656$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 58c | 621.23$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 616.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 552.79$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.37 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 39c | 550$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 33c | 548$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 65c | 532.05$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 34c | 427.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 64c | 390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 300.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 36c | 152.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 35c | 126.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 105.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…d675backed No | 65c | 94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Yes | 37c | 88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 64c | 59.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 33c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 44.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…c35dbacked No | 70c | 25.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Paris FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.