TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5a0e…9036

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
217
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST6533.8%22 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$97.89
Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+170.3%+$136.22
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Watford FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+185.7%+$92.86
Will Millwall FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.02
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST3743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Will Genoa CFC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$97.43
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+132.6%+$53.02
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$40
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+287.8%+$100.72
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST2231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+376.2%+$75.24
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Valencia CF win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+222.6%+$66.77
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Girona win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+215.1%+$32.27
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$66
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+172.4%+$60.35
All 21 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Will Noah FA win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$33.83
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SK Brann win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+139.4%+$34.84
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+222.6%+$55.65
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$560.3
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+134.6%+$471.18
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$450
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$103.66
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$76.62
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$90
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+151%+$201.24
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$79.03
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$67.22
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$684
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$400
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+284%+$1,703.94
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+173.5%+$1,735.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+60.9%+$30.47
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Israel strike 3 or more countries in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.9
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.8%+$81.91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-68.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump say "Biden's war" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,030
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.4%+$155.52
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$24.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+75.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+110.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$20.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.