Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa042f1810c1d59aebc2ad1a058eb1e1987da03be1806d6360a1e6e5548178b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 3,710$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.45 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,915$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.04 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…0611backed Yes | 23c | 1,716$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 1,390$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.94 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,205$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.96 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 1c | 1,138$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…b388backed No | 76c | 1,053$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 5c | 946.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 763$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 55c | 730.19$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 65c | 623.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Yes | 24c | 603.54$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 13c | 591$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 53c | 575.28$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.1 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 76c | 443.42$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 77c | 399.8$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 76c | 394.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 16c | 302.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 298.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 45c | 294$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 286$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…9036backed Yes | 22c | 246.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 57c | 227.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…22febacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 22c | 184$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Yes | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…0076backed Yes | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 60c | 164.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +261%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 42c | 160$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde43…ec94backed No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…497dbacked No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…d418backed No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ae…b7b7backed No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…f860backed No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1167…dd5dbacked No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…0426backed No | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…2032backed No | 76c | 147.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618a…6196backed No | 77c | 147.32$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed No | 54c | 143.9$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 23c | 137$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed No | 62c | 97.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e7…05c8backed Yes | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 46c | 62.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Yes | 55c | 59.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 59.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed No | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 67c | 55.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 45c | 53.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…00d1backed No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 25c | 50.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked No | 76c | 48.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 77c | 31.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 77c | 29.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…8449backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Yes | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 46c | 27.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 76c | 26.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…1770backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…d6a4backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 77c | 16.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…a4cebacked No | 75c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.