Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e65c27dfae1a0ad929eb0a642f83e58143718d24985e03b0b2abe41c6302029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 4,943$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.42 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 32c | 4,678$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.13 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 3,665$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.21 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,148$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 68c | 1,554$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.04 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 24c | 1,325$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 20c | 1,151$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 970$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.3 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 41c | 899$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.8 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 69c | 835.23$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.31 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 69c | 667.06$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 613.43$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.07 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 444$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 442$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.84 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…2c0dbacked Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 403.13$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 68c | 313.14$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 253$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 4c | 253$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 35c | 235$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 31c | 209$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 69c | 180.4$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 27c | 169.93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 18c | 166.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 31c | 163$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 128.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 123.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 25c | 120.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…5010backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 32c | 88.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 69c | 71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 70c | 65.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Yes | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 21c | 58.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 69c | 47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.44per pick | 56cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 70c | 40.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 37.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…c5d2backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…a4cebacked No | 70c | 16.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…ae1ebacked No | 69c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.