TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2f5…1770

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.13
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Will DR Congo win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$5.55
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Zimbabwe vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Angola win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.42
Will Sudan win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+39.4%+$7.88
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Comoros win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+36.4%+$10.91
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Angola win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machacbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hobart International: Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.63
ASB Classic: Sebastian Baez vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.18
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
Adelaide International: Mirra Andreeva vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baezbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Australian Open Women's: Zeynep Sonmez vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$5.55
ASB Classic: Cameron Norrie vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Brisbane International: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyukbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.75
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+41%+$20.5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+37.9%+$7.59
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.27
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+62.2%+$18.65
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.5%+$27.71
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick74cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.3%+$14.17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$114.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.