TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c29,925$7,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,101.4230031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes24c21,009$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes7c17,016$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2496547.7%31 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed No75c11,428$8,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.851250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes26c9,616$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c9,456$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.513,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No77c8,000$6,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.9732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No76c7,844$5,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.5621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes22c5,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1444540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No78c4,161$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79e6…b1c2backed Yes6c3,232$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8730%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c3,100$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No75c2,873$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.628754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes25c2,524$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.25785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No74c2,416$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.15042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes8c2,227$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.014022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes6c1,784$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.063271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddc0…a8a0backed Yes25c1,609$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37522421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes22c1,363$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f2…a363backed Yes26c1,142$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25024732.4%80 W · 167 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes13c1,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a7…6713backed Yes15c982.52$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes3c919.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.327128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes25c907$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.515149%25 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes23c869.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.994050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e69…bebebacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes24c786.73$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8214732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No75c777$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2531851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes6c773.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No72c713.43$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.761118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-75.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c706.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes27c700$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1892334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes6c698.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No76c636.95$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.881,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes7c628.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes23c565.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Yes2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-73.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes3c499.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No76c483.4$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.237247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes22c481.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes6c477.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0314537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes24c476.09$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4120322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes23c468.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.866432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes22c448.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.64120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef6f…084bbacked Yes6c412.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad7e…b762backed Yes6c395$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes4c390.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes6c373.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82512%3 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes6c371.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2316442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No76c368$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3212047.5%57 W · 63 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No74c351$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2614040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes28c350.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.335318.9%10 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes16c347.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes25c299.2$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x16bc…110bbacked No77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes22c251.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.29137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick25cpaid-81.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x970c…94b2backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…5cc1backed Yes24c225.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed Yes8c223.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes13c220.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295650%28 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No73c220.09$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6313654.4%74 W · 62 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+62.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes23c213.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadf1…a0efbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8a…01f5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+112.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes7c166.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.318641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes14c155.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.244247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d9…501cbacked Yes14c145.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Yes22c140.27$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.862751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes25c135.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3421840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…61c8backed Yes8c135$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes24c133.33$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No76c126.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2133059.1%195 W · 135 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…ccf0backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282d…8a32backed Yes17c124.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes23c124$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.584235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ef8…3091backed Yes19c121.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes25c119.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.873528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x852e…35c6backed Yes23c105.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes25c101$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.252250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4030…14c0backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b26…2c12backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.335547.3%26 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-40.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes25c99.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No79c94.88$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.023056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa574…9075backed Yes14c91.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132040%8 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-31.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Yes24c79.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.097030%21 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed No80c60.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.