TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Cameroon vs. Gabon end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5677…2ce9backed No69c7,777$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.861963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c7,367$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.4930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes31c5,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.989636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No68c5,239$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.9876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes32c4,550$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4564540%18 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes32c1,875$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes14c1,693$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.6734630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes23c1,372$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3216240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes31c1,290$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes15c1,145$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.736333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes30c1,009$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.5822421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes15c640.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.27032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50a7…6713backed Yes24c553.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1313826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes17c543$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes19c539.39$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.941838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b74…876dbacked Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9af…7807backed Yes18c523.88$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes19c516.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes18c490$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes15c479.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9910629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes28c433.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No68c412.78$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1928754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes16c407.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.261,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes17c405.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes19c388.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e6…cbd8backed Yes32c387.2$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes18c385.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.421225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes22c382.22$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2716737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc849…204dbacked Yes32c357.13$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.281833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes18c349.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.12147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes12c347.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No75c325.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5514537.2%54 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes33c306.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb9…7bf4backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.43141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes31c239.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.44751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes25c236.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6090%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes17c229.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010734.6%37 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes32c206.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.09728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes32c179$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.185149%25 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Yes17c176.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No80c175.36$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.269845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes11c173.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194231%13 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes32c159.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e83…983dbacked Yes17c150.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.72665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbcc…91d3backed Yes18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes26c134.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1655153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes19c124.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5616250%81 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…eb4bbacked Yes25c119.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes17c117.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.964540%18 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Yes18c114.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.651323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes32c107.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.44235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334411.4%5 W · 39 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-59.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3222650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes17c95.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes31c93.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Yes32c91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.129840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b1…7eb6backed Yes32c88.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…5e40backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-67.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes23c86.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No75c85.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b7…c701backed Yes18c83.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46fb…83b1backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes32c77.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d02…aa1ebacked Yes31c77.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes32c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242050%10 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x806e…c7c1backed Yes18c72.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaef9…0b2bbacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes24c62.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9987651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…7f36backed No69c62.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+99.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Yes17c60.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0a…e3acbacked Yes24c60.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.312653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa3d…aaa3backed No69c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x879a…5c83backed Yes18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes20c58.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.774050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No69c58.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478e…324dbacked Yes26c57.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152825%7 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked No69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.528337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621840.8%89 W · 129 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49e0…676fbacked Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes32c48.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.