TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b9c…842b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$9.62
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.31
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$35.61
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.68
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$21.12
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.51
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$16.73
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+25%+$16.75
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+138.1%+$58
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$27.06
Golden Knights vs. Blackhawksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$26
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$27.29
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$39
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+175.3%+$57.84
Panthers vs. Ducksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Hurricanes vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+163.2%+$35.89
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Sharks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.32
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$39.1
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+233.3%+$63
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$14.54
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Red Wings vs. Jetsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+57.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$76.8
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+400%+$40
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+174%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$23.84
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$23.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsa vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Tulsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$47.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. AZ Alkmaar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.