Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e44960457b29955b66a1dd4ef7c922573c0cd29f0cb618fa3eef463d90c07f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,309$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 673.74$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.51 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 673.69$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 35c | 400.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 369.78$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 362.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 76c | 311.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 16c | 243.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 205.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 21c | 167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 21c | 163$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 159$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 22c | 140.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 16c | 115.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 20c | 98.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…d166backed No | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…f9e8backed Yes | 15c | 65.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 79c | 63.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 73c | 46.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ac…a011backed Yes | 25c | 44.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 43.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed No | 75c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 79c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.