Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15dab3d0d8550eb2ab8e606230221d78a56264331e230feb326ef90a8c457292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 8c | 2,261$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,344$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 16c | 1,320$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,043$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 855$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 644.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 17c | 639$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.68 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 80c | 607.28$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 16c | 520$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 7c | 481.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 17c | 471$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da1…d6bcbacked Yes | 17c | 421.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 16c | 385.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…7b9abacked Yes | 19c | 379.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 307.05$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 241.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 11c | 220.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…de73backed Yes | 17c | 157$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 13c | 129.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 17c | 120.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Yes | 17c | 100.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 68c | 73.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 23c | 57.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 80c | 17.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.