Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cec5ceb15a8aa3374b36b219c2208ef60d8e990ebdc8e2bbc14897d23fed481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 14c | 2,140$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed No | 70c | 1,469$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Yes | 30c | 1,467$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 6c | 1,442$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 14c | 799.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 32c | 754.01$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 36c | 600$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.91 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 70c | 582.63$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 535.2$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.26 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 62 | 82.3%51 W · 11 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 34c | 361.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 332.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 8c | 202.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 71c | 153.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 101.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8417backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 31c | 98.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 80.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 26c | 57.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 53.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Yes | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 44.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 43.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed No | 58c | 43.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 36.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2036…0f0fbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +145.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…842bbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 36c | 33.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…dfe8backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 56c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 79c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-09?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.