Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106c1f44bcbf36170ab5fa4695a07ae8a712fe8b4d8c555d21c7651762b37e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 4c | 9,578$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.12 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 7,736$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 2c | 3,967$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 3c | 2,762$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,678$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.21 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 802$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.57 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 6c | 710.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 75c | 549.99$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 510.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 30c | 504.54$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.28 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 69c | 348.12$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 28c | 320$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 319.46$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602e…e237backed No | 72c | 312.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 293.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 68c | 202.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 31c | 170.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 160.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 29c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Yes | 31c | 128.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 28c | 105.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes | 31c | 102$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 69c | 98.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 69c | 79.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 72c | 73.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 28c | 42.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…6104backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 73c | 39.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 38.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked No | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…2208backed No | 70c | 26.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…dfe8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 71c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will Kayserispor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.