TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f92…35a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$22.29
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$19.61
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$19.92
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$26.66
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.65
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$24.58
Pacers vs. Pistonsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$20.8
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$29.57
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+100%+$20.63
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$525.64
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,016.32
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$663.78
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,072.5
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$25.65
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$24.43
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$19.84
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.54
Blues vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+126.6%+$24.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.78
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.25
Twins vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+208.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bowling vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$1,147
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+132.6%+$27.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$476.48
Will Russia vs. Peru end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+334.8%+$1,062.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,010.85
WTA Finals, Serena Williams Group: Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keysbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$450.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Roundbacked Berlin International Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,016.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.