Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3544c90850e05561efd32db7fa1bb164f706bffdc07db71d9bf8cb57fe90b31e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 43c | 91,969$39,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,546.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 60c | 83,086$49,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,432.57 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 57c | 79,741$45,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,288.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Yes | 42c | 47,769$20,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,062.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 29c | 31,111$9,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,064.56 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 57c | 28,174$16,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,114.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 44c | 22,728$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 57c | 12,784$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.95 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 44c | 12,344$5,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,371.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked No | 58c | 7,561$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…6ad6backed Yes | 23c | 7,451$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 41c | 7,168$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.53 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 56c | 6,398$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e2…a455backed Yes | 24c | 4,125$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…e482backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 43c | 3,938$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 42c | 2,618$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 59c | 2,555$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.18 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 58c | 2,384$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.84 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 43c | 2,323$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.83 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,294$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 42c | 2,117$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Yes | 13c | 2,011$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 43c | 2,007$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.93 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…ab01backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 16c | 1,917$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb2…b219backed Yes | 1c | 1,840$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed Yes | 40c | 1,665$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 57c | 1,611$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.57 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,570$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.13 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…e0d0backed Yes | 15c | 1,498$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yes | 21c | 1,493$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 40c | 1,458$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 41c | 1,398$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 41c | 1,376$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.03 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Yes | 1c | 1,325$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc48…6dcdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,309$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…b1e8backed Yes | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 44c | 1,240$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 60c | 1,230$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.96 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…6d96backed Yes | 18c | 1,167$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,128$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 58c | 1,084$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 22c | 1,075$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 57c | 1,068$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 56c | 1,060$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…e090backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…1d9cbacked Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…1248backed Yes | 39c | 935$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…5c41backed Yes | 39c | 935$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Yes | 17c | 909.06$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 44c | 897.25$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…5634backed Yes | 45c | 893.46$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…3812backed Yes | 19c | 863.24$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked No | 58c | 819$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 63c | 762.35$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…866bbacked No | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…c3a6backed No | 61c | 735$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8e…0824backed No | 61c | 735$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…5fd4backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…6187backed Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 43c | 695$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…00cabacked Yes | 46c | 624.33$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…f5d9backed Yes | 20c | 610.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…3ac0backed Yes | 42c | 600.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…1d09backed Yes | 37c | 583.33$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 18c | 555.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…d3d0backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 20c | 471.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 43c | 469.67$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.96 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…f9cdbacked Yes | 44c | 459.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…bccbbacked Yes | 43c | 456.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…1230backed Yes | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…67e6backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe165…19c4backed Yes | 17c | 441.86$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…2c99backed Yes | 43c | 440.07$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 45c | 422.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ee…e69cbacked Yes | 31c | 420.69$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 402.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…8a6bbacked Yes | 43c | 390.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…f26dbacked Yes | 12c | 378.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 43c | 369.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd27…a9c4backed Yes | 29c | 357.54$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f4…fd6fbacked No | 57c | 352.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?this page
- Will Tottenham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.