TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x965f…f167

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+33.3%+$356.74
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$704Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$704.34
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$656.93
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$528.34
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.59
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.09
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$27.75
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$24.63
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+143.9%+$26.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$720.44
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,012.8
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.66
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25.25
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+97.8%+$21.91
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$747.34
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$873.08
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,020
Cardinals vs. Philliesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$617.5
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$619.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+136.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+203%+$1,020.41
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$696.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$666.96
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$594.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$544
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$26.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$382.16
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$432.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,013.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+56.2%+$576.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$506.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$974.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$572Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,063.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.