TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Francisco Comesana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shangof Shang, Comesana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,053
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,053 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe167…03a1backed Comesana24c3,166$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.5331647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shang80c2,817$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5511,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shang78c2,718$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.132,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Comesana3c2,665$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.958313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Shang64c2,571$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3920653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shang75c2,257$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.912,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked Comesana21c2,240$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Comesana7c2,142$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9410815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Comesana18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.992035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5395…9ea1backed Comesana36c1,658$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x965f…f167backed Shang64c1,655$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Comesana36c1,627$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.878452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Comesana23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Shang80c1,253$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.021656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Comesana32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Comesana20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Comesana23c1,000$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6567249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Shang80c917.09$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Comesana26c807.69$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Comesana28c800$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22657645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Comesana27c744.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-69.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Comesana35c641.07$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Shang71c606.96$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.441,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Comesana25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Comesana23c581.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1716856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f61…67ebbacked Comesana4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shang75c423.31$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.832,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d6…1bb8backed Comesana24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118a…7c4abacked Comesana7c401.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick41cpaid+79.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shang74c390.42$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Comesana22c365.09$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7928833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Comesana37c304.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shang75c279.72$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.936,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shang77c272.75$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.67,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Comesana24c267.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.726855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Comesana27c260$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.133941%16 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Shang66c246$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.729762.9%61 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Shang79c237.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.791,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Shang65c231.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2312752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Comesana26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015444.2%68 W · 86 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Comesana22c179.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Comesana28c145.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,33946.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shang63c139.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5234842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8061…9eb5backed Comesana37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…7b21backed Shang78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Shang80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2573350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…7ab1backed Shang80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed Comesana37c105$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Shang64c104.6$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.652958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Comesana36c100.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.151216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ede…d6a7backed Comesana26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Comesana20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ad…887abacked Shang78c98.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Comesana21c93.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.722,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1176…c273backed Comesana22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Comesana25c86.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Comesana24c83.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Comesana13c77.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b18…786ebacked Comesana27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Comesana22c73.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Shang80c65.88$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Comesana35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Comesana35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Comesana21c58.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9f…a82fbacked Comesana22c54.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Comesana39c51.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Shang70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Shang61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.510755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Comesana23c45.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.467,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Comesana39c44.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shang62c44.35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1773048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d2…9a53backed Shang65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Comesana39c38.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.841650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Comesana30c36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Shang65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9a…3487backed Shang75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8161…e08ebacked Comesana37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.114553.1%77 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f27…fb8cbacked Shang78c29.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Shang63c25.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Shang65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.753756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Shang78c18.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.124055%22 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed Shang78c18.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.011729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shang58c17.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.