Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1df82295170f8647a07e27b64115284c719477a8965cfd11cb4d8aab570f1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $371,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $371,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 61c | 98,363$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,363.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…b090backed Yes | 38c | 56,411$21,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,436.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…7aabbacked No | 62c | 56,411$34,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,436.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 42c | 35,714$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 42c | 31,357$13,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,169.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 39c | 19,911$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,765.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 2c | 6,895$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 39c | 3,941$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 42c | 2,639$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 65c | 2,391$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.89 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Yes | 41c | 2,367$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 60c | 1,686$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Yes | 37c | 1,610$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed No | 63c | 1,606$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 1,540$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bebcbacked No | 65c | 1,511$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…92febacked Yes | 35c | 1,511$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 33c | 1,456$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,448$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.76 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 43c | 1,300$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.55 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 62c | 1,273$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.2 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,219$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 6c | 1,115$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 37c | 1,088$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.59 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked No | 67c | 1,025$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 40c | 1,020$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d20…cbbabacked Yes | 32c | 940$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…5ba5backed Yes | 43c | 884$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…0dbfbacked No | 61c | 883.83$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 16c | 835.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.48 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed No | 11c | 724.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 59c | 698.48$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…7f3ebacked Yes | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 42c | 616.27$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 36c | 613.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 38c | 532.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 18c | 497.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 39c | 496.93$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes | 21c | 480$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3cbebacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 61c | 399.96$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…5d73backed No | 65c | 385$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 60c | 383$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 20c | 357.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…6575backed Yes | 35c | 330$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 61c | 326.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 63c | 305$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…0d83backed Yes | 39c | 265.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b5…e4f0backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed No | 63c | 257.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0685backed Yes | 42c | 256.93$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 62c | 248.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 23c | 240.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 62c | 187.05$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b7…83f5backed Yes | 39c | 175.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 40c | 175.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 63c | 151.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 40c | 146.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…caeebacked Yes | 25c | 146.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 40c | 139.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 39c | 130.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…5febbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Yes | 38c | 123.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e4…443cbacked No | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeddc…aed8backed Yes | 38c | 104.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…544fbacked Yes | 40c | 103.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked No | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 57c | 103$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…09d3backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…2cf0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bf7ebacked No | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 67c | 89.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…6933backed Yes | 36c | 83.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 36c | 83.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 38c | 66.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 38c | 64.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 43c | 59.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 36c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 57.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 65c | 57.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…0de9backed Yes | 25c | 55.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed No | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…67e0backed Yes | 37c | 54.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-10?this page
- Will Lyon vs. Manchester United end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lyon win on 2025-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.