TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fd0…09d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+89.6%+$17.92
Will Newcastle win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester United beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Newcastle beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+147.7%+$59.09
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Manchester United beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$18.55
Will Fulham beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
Will Juventus beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+145%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+234.9%+$35.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+97.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+95.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+290.6%+$29.06
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HLE vs T1backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.