F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1eacf52b67e971102e6c1418e69a9c141c9a21e08527be10fac19301495a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0240…e3a1backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 44,300$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 37,795$11,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,877.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 5c | 36,482$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 17c | 35,605$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…35f8backed Yes | 4c | 22,276$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 18c | 18,518$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.38 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 5c | 17,632$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…53a1backed Yes | 1c | 13,314$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…07abbacked Yes | 2c | 11,719$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 11,610$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.31 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 10,038$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.96 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 16c | 9,463$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.94 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12eb…7c10backed Yes | 11c | 8,957$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…ed95backed Yes | 13c | 6,853$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 6c | 6,556$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 7c | 6,470$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.47 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 7c | 6,132$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.56 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 12c | 6,071$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.09 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 3c | 6,023$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 25c | 6,000$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.04 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…25e0backed Yes | 18c | 5,695$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed Yes | 9c | 4,451$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…416bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…8eb2backed Yes | 3c | 4,039$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 9c | 4,009$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…34c5backed Yes | 16c | 3,810$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 19c | 3,735$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,565$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…54c2backed Yes | 16c | 3,531$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 10c | 3,402$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 3,236$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 6c | 3,231$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.67 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 4c | 3,123$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5853…fb3abacked Yes | 15c | 2,726$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,697$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed Yes | 3c | 2,687$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 19c | 2,619$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 19c | 2,608$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.41 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 22c | 2,590$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.15 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…0b16backed Yes | 3c | 2,583$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…166cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,509$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 14c | 2,432$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…b918backed Yes | 2c | 2,426$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a6…5ceebacked No | 72c | 2,138$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…109bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,128$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…d443backed Yes | 4c | 2,023$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…5157backed Yes | 20c | 1,919$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 34c | 1,789$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,788$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564c…eb4dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,783$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…5360backed Yes | 9c | 1,749$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd365…13e2backed Yes | 16c | 1,719$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ac…fcb1backed Yes | 6c | 1,717$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…d361backed Yes | 25c | 1,640$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 10c | 1,637$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa6…47c7backed Yes | 37c | 1,580$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…cc24backed Yes | 17c | 1,576$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…03e8backed Yes | 5c | 1,536$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,536$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0653…d61bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,459$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…eb12backed Yes | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 36c | 1,391$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0ff5backed Yes | 37c | 1,349$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa0…6382backed Yes | 19c | 1,338$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e5…6ecfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,332$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…e2a3backed Yes | 4c | 1,282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 2c | 1,237$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…8baebacked Yes | 16c | 1,237$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 8c | 1,207$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3b…e3babacked Yes | 9c | 1,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…f030backed Yes | 14c | 1,106$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 15c | 1,072$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…b7e2backed Yes | 25c | 1,071$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…6b77backed Yes | 13c | 1,056$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,037$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda8e…ae5dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…515dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…8881backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ab…2f52backed Yes | 26c | 982.58$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaf…3cf5backed Yes | 17c | 969.17$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 19c | 942.76$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732d…95e1backed Yes | 3c | 931.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…0548backed Yes | 33c | 909.29$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 31c | 902.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…fae8backed Yes | 8c | 901.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 23c | 888.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603b…0fbfbacked Yes | 14c | 883.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 10c | 881.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 7c | 831.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 10c | 820$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…0b22backed Yes | 5c | 815.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 10c | 805.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a33cbacked Yes | 13c | 796.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 67c | 795$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 6c | 795$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 7c | 781.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?this page
- Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes won
- Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?No won
- Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.