F1 · resolved market
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6154df852fac6dd9748b97883c03220bb267ad2be71fa215c8df1431995db74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 4c | 27,454$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 4c | 23,558$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 16c | 7,322$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.06 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 80c | 6,560$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.51 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 7c | 4,835$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 2c | 4,466$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed No | 6c | 4,431$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 19c | 4,063$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.71 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…3020backed No | 2c | 4,012$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 7c | 3,403$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 74c | 3,277$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 35c | 3,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 15c | 2,863$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.44 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…9cf8backed Yes | 70c | 2,858$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 77c | 2,538$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes | 70c | 2,512$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d7…a0e8backed No | 21c | 2,371$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,152$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…7fb2backed No | 16c | 2,125$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…7ba1backed Yes | 74c | 1,968$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 9c | 1,764$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.5 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…5459backed Yes | 70c | 1,761$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 65c | 1,750$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked No | 6c | 1,726$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 1,718$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 1c | 1,463$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,457$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.49 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 27c | 1,342$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.83 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 22c | 1,200$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…1482backed Yes | 66c | 1,190$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 17c | 1,174$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…605fbacked No | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…afe0backed Yes | 70c | 916.34$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 12c | 832.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 15c | 831.31$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e11…f0f6backed No | 11c | 808.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 12c | 800.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…287cbacked No | 16c | 799.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 65c | 672.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…7265backed Yes | 71c | 668.07$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Yes | 76c | 656.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked No | 8c | 614.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0ff5backed Yes | 72c | 612.68$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…ee71backed No | 16c | 588.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…5d4abacked No | 38c | 532.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 20c | 509.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee8…1805backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed No | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 7c | 472.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…78f9backed Yes | 78c | 426.53$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…f99abacked No | 22c | 409.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74d…85e9backed No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed Yes | 64c | 399.95$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…d0a8backed No | 11c | 385.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…8881backed Yes | 78c | 373.88$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…bd47backed No | 33c | 372.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…50d0backed No | 10c | 350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…2433backed Yes | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +236.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 7c | 338$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…2461backed Yes | 70c | 313.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…3a9bbacked Yes | 72c | 305.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708c…efabbacked No | 9c | 304.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…1c35backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 75c | 274.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…d0cabacked Yes | 76c | 266.93$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 9c | 262.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked No | 16c | 250.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 71c | 248.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…bc2bbacked No | 38c | 235.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4005…36d1backed Yes | 65c | 234.15$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 9c | 217.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…8b2fbacked Yes | 72c | 199.71$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…4039backed Yes | 78c | 198.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12be…3455backed Yes | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…733bbacked Yes | 71c | 188.73$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked Yes | 72c | 181.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 74c | 178.44$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 9c | 168.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…9a35backed No | 31c | 162.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 152.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…5e77backed No | 26c | 149.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…0159backed No | 29c | 145.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 70c | 145.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b1…7abcbacked No | 32c | 143.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7367…4d7cbacked Yes | 80c | 143.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…dc82backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…3e68backed Yes | 80c | 133.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…2a1fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 25c | 118.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…441bbacked No | 10c | 116.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…f508backed Yes | 80c | 112.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…f9fdbacked No | 12c | 108.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 107.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…8d9bbacked No | 12c | 104.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked No | 14c | 103.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…0fc4backed Yes | 64c | 101.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?this page
- Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
- Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?No won
- Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.