F1 · resolved market
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2e38c3d30a1696197ffa7f75b0add15d69844df51c55cd36136416d1d1f6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 19,838$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 0c | 17,007$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…9ac5backed Yes | 3c | 15,533$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 1c | 11,553$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…9cf8backed Yes | 2c | 9,982$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 9,798$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,568$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 7,048$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…9a35backed Yes | 1c | 5,770$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 8c | 5,161$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 2c | 4,935$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 4,203$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…a686backed Yes | 1c | 3,916$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…756bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,838$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Yes | 0c | 3,813$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,718$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 5c | 3,628$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…2323backed Yes | 2c | 3,442$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,331$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 3c | 3,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 0c | 2,999$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087a…eae9backed Yes | 7c | 2,856$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…4e87backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,954$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,948$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…50b0backed Yes | 3c | 1,837$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…9e2dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,752$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…107abacked Yes | 8c | 1,726$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…dff2backed Yes | 2c | 1,540$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…4379backed Yes | 7c | 1,472$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…8d88backed Yes | 2c | 1,447$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…1888backed Yes | 7c | 1,365$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,333$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…bc2bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 77c | 1,156$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…a6bebacked Yes | 2c | 1,066$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…85c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,040$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…7039backed Yes | 7c | 1,016$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2c…afeebacked Yes | 3c | 1,007$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…0b7bbacked Yes | 7c | 917.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 825.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 4c | 762.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c98…2e7ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Yes | 2c | 654.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…307bbacked Yes | 16c | 635.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…987dbacked Yes | 2c | 598.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…6d29backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40de…ca49backed Yes | 3c | 555.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…baefbacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc578…fab0backed Yes | 27c | 486.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 5c | 426.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48d…a875backed Yes | 4c | 424.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…8462backed Yes | 7c | 417.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…87acbacked Yes | 16c | 406.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…e4cabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b33fbacked Yes | 6c | 351.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0760…c72ebacked Yes | 9c | 337.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…aaf2backed Yes | 7c | 331.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 16c | 319$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…314bbacked Yes | 6c | 305.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 9c | 302.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18af…f909backed Yes | 12c | 300.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a36…d8ecbacked Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdf…76b2backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…06f6backed Yes | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 22c | 296.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…1669backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 276.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 7c | 257.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…91d1backed Yes | 8c | 246.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…0d93backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba3…e558backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…5121backed Yes | 7c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…877fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…4f2abacked Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2136…0306backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…d3a2backed Yes | 8c | 197.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…c77bbacked Yes | 27c | 184.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 23c | 144.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…e20fbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f6…7affbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…0a8bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…5dbdbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…f6c4backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…5441backed Yes | 17c | 85.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Yes | 32c | 77.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…3743backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3767…5e7cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…9c16backed Yes | 26c | 52.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?this page
- Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
- Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?Yes won
- Will Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?No won
- Will another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.