TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0760…c72e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+222.6%+$36.79
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+105.8%+$21.16
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+37.7%+$124.29
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+101.4%+$179.31
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+43.9%+$37.39
All 21 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick16cpaid+4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Red Bull win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$60
Will another driver win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Will Charles Leclerc win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+1,150%+$287.5
Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+233.3%+$70
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$59.38
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$135.77
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$209.97
Ravens vs. Buccaneersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+167.7%+$43.62
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump declassifies Diddy list?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+426.3%+$127.89
Trump transgender sports ban?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Trump say "We Won" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will Trump say "Steal", "Stealing", "Stole", or "Stolen" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$90
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+170.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$94.26
NLCS: Dodgers vs. Mets Game 6backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$18.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+62.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawk Tuah token by Thanksgiving?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+566.7%+$113.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iraq before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NaVi win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.