TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Raptors, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,956

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings69c18,197$12,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings77c5,186$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.1365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6c…9047backed Raptors41c3,982$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.591330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3a2…0946backed Raptors11c3,539$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Raptors16c3,254$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.7819137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors30c3,203$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.391,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Raptors36c3,050$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.9214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Raptors32c2,800$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89618437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors17c2,551$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.631,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings71c2,193$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.0661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Kings80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40019152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors41c1,943$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.511,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings76c1,281$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.6570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Raptors20c1,110$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22327041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors18c1,085$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2727631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors18c1,072$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed Raptors29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Raptors14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14016443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4192…7f00backed Raptors17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kings57c999.99$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4257549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Raptors21c909.93$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Kings66c862.38$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.333946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Kings77c756.25$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.6411332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76d0…c092backed Raptors34c751.92$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.653531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Raptors25c735.93$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors19c734.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.911,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Kings80c720$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98f3…bf14backed Raptors16c716.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.671330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Raptors21c646.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.262326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Raptors20c630$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12615034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…8dcabacked Raptors38c619.74$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.22050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Raptors7c550$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Raptors15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x456d…bf6ebacked Raptors8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026a…2f8abacked Raptors28c471.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1344126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd0a…17b3backed Raptors40c454.85$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaac9…894fbacked Raptors20c424.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Kings69c394.97$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7723835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Raptors23c393.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.262227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…2ff6backed Raptors22c390.91$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb910…8624backed Kings77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b8…3bfcbacked Raptors6c389.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.711216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Raptors15c350$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings79c302.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Raptors17c296.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Raptors16c289.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c15…3c13backed Raptors29c258.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2813…3177backed Raptors38c252.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962825%7 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Kings60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x410d…3013backed Raptors30c240.89$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873b…8135backed Raptors43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Raptors43c232.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05f7…4a94backed Raptors22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+73.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Raptors42c218$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.276839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7405…2797backed Raptors18c210$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.83351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Raptors21c207.26$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4511719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Raptors21c204.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.037958.2%46 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Raptors9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1813611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3573…b6f9backed Raptors32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Raptors15c184.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7520233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings72c164.96$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3433752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9315149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5433…0d50backed Kings67c158.9$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.442166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Raptors14c158.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.196141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Raptors20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302532%8 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdbc…b0b4backed Kings77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Kings76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584951%25 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…de1cbacked Raptors15c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e5…d129backed Raptors15c124.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.612128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e8…866fbacked Raptors42c117.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Raptors18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Raptors21c110$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.614150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f8…5660backed Raptors16c106.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5810440.4%42 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7679…8c3abacked Raptors19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011849.2%58 W · 60 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Kings60c104.13$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6514847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b26…3be1backed Raptors39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+127.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Kings55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc883…35ffbacked Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Raptors22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2219939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Raptors21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4761…0fc3backed Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Kings57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4310243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99ec…388ebacked Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Raptors20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bd1…b023backed Raptors24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors17c97.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2461…a002backed Raptors20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182055%11 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f2…8d23backed Raptors15c90$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.96139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Raptors18c89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddfb…c994backed Kings79c88.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.612157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703b…8510backed Raptors23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Raptors40c83.13$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.253751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0760…c72ebacked Raptors37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1691…2e1cbacked Raptors39c76.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd59f…33e8backed Raptors27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc60…3e66backed Kings80c71.7$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.341877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d82…ac22backed Raptors42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce3…0b89backed Raptors18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-79.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Raptors18c66.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.