TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5342…0f95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$713
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$38.42
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.6
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.75
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.94
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+203%+$40.61
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$54.8
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+115.1%+$32.22
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+156.4%+$18.77
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$18
Bucks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$21.35
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+525%+$57.75
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
All 25 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+233.3%+$35
Will West Ham vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+244.8%+$43.51
Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+270.4%+$32.44
Will Villa win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$24
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$54
Will West Ham win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Arsenal beat Tottenham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+132.9%+$27.57
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$25.03
Uruguay wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Inter win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+300%+$53.55
Will the match between Inter Milan and Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Will Barcelona beat Red Star Belgrade?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+25%+$13.75
Will Atalanta beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+165.7%+$46.4
Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Will Juventus beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$37.7
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will the match between Monaco vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Bahrain GP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Max Verstappen win the Mexico City Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will Carlos Sainz win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Singapore Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+662.5%+$72.81
Will Max Verstappen win the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+244.8%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+26.6%+$4.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$22.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.