NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78365833bac0cb4e515640140dc202f440f71aa49d35d15d60b270ab03c4f90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Nets, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Grizzlies | 28c | 14,719$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.91 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Grizzlies | 69c | 13,327$9,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,147.6 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Nets | 61c | 8,000$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Nets | 17c | 5,555$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Grizzlies | 64c | 4,340$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.11 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Nets | 63c | 3,323$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,103$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.97 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nets | 38c | 2,775$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.88 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 15c | 2,600$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.87 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Nets | 23c | 2,132$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.34 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Nets | 29c | 2,125$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.75 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Nets | 17c | 2,062$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.33 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.94 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Nets | 31c | 1,958$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Nets | 17c | 1,881$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.17 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,412$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…dab5backed Nets | 61c | 1,377$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Grizzlies | 24c | 1,100$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Grizzlies | 60c | 1,070$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.23 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Nets | 15c | 959.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Nets | 16c | 920$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies | 25c | 828$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets | 19c | 669.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.95 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Nets | 57c | 668.05$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Nets | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9cf8backed Nets | 24c | 624.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.93 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Grizzlies | 45c | 517.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.15 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…c055backed Grizzlies | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Grizzlies | 49c | 452$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Nets | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Grizzlies | 57c | 370.12$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…0d36backed Nets | 16c | 356.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets | 78c | 350.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nets | 17c | 302.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.29 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Nets | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Grizzlies | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Nets | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Grizzlies | 73c | 274.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a5…bfffbacked Nets | 17c | 269$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…6aaabacked Nets | 32c | 263.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Nets | 45c | 260$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Nets | 37c | 254.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Grizzlies | 70c | 233.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.99 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d53…b56ebacked Nets | 16c | 193.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Nets | 15c | 176.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Nets | 21c | 163.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.38 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8d98backed Nets | 17c | 158.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Nets | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Nets | 38c | 132$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Nets | 26c | 111$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.14 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Nets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Nets | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Nets | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Nets | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a49…413fbacked Nets | 18c | 97.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Nets | 28c | 95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…b5e1backed Nets | 14c | 92.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Nets | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Nets | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Nets | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 67.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Nets | 22c | 67.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Nets | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…dc5abacked Nets | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Nets | 38c | 52.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Nets | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771b…05e1backed Nets | 43c | 44.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nets | 25c | 41.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Nets | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Grizzlies | 32c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Grizzlies | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Nets | 62c | 33.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…fb98backed Nets | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…cbc2backed Grizzlies | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.