Premier League · resolved market
Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d755f3ff9a1ea92df1103df1642984ac1e6946877d50e4a7c6883813e62ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 65c | 6,485$4,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.7 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 51c | 3,870$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.71 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed No | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +1,419.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.9 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 47c | 2,776$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.46 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…8874backed Yes | 26c | 1,786$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 24c | 1,384$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.22 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 72c | 1,288$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.56 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.97 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f51…0294backed Yes | 28c | 1,127$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 26c | 1,016$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 51c | 984.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…0717backed No | 76c | 823.46$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 26c | 740.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 36c | 542.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 30c | 456$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 73c | 407.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 36c | 336.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…57d8backed Yes | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…03a0backed No | 75c | 323.05$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 50c | 282.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…7e3fbacked No | 76c | 280$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed No | 68c | 242.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 26c | 217.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 76c | 192.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 31c | 177.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked No | 24c | 150.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 74c | 103.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…08f7backed Yes | 76c | 85.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9447…c525backed Yes | 41c | 85.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 59c | 77.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a6d5backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…b8d0backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 37c | 68.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…8260backed No | 66c | 59.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb601…f9f1backed No | 75c | 57.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 27c | 53.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…8a00backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0790…ec89backed No | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…2fdebacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…caa2backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…5192backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…e1ecbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb599…1b7fbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcb…b048backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…d6d9backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…3600backed Yes | 54c | 46.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 34.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…b83cbacked No | 40c | 34.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked No | 67c | 33.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…59f2backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…5846backed No | 75c | 25.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…0b72backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…7bbcbacked No | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?No won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.