Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523ac589ff3b08a7a58aeffc91a62e54a81c5b3e6799e8739f9b47ce2369bff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 61c | 16,848$10,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,569.06 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 39c | 6,382$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.31 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 18c | 3,746$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.65 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 38c | 3,334$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…fe86backed Yes | 39c | 2,553$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Yes | 39c | 2,102$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.89 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,911$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…080bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,894$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 37c | 1,870$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 70c | 1,791$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.23 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 38c | 1,674$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.4 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 64c | 1,539$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.87 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 60c | 1,371$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.66 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Yes | 37c | 1,216$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.98 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 1,185$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.88 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…5a81backed Yes | 45c | 1,108$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…1857backed Yes | 39c | 769.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f3…33d2backed No | 64c | 679.67$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d86…537abacked No | 62c | 622.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…8b36backed Yes | 39c | 608.9$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0248…eee3backed Yes | 40c | 562.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 21c | 550$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes | 37c | 532.89$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…5560backed Yes | 32c | 500.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed No | 61c | 473$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 59c | 423.38$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed No | 62c | 409.48$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…6d69backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 39c | 381.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 61c | 368.39$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 365$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x082c…af7cbacked No | 64c | 351.5$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…1d0cbacked No | 64c | 264.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 63c | 260$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…448ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 40c | 242.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…6677backed Yes | 39c | 238.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 11c | 207.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…21d5backed No | 62c | 183.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…9cc5backed No | 63c | 144.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 66c | 142.95$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Yes | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 40c | 125.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…5702backed Yes | 40c | 122.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…10fdbacked No | 63c | 117.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes | 44c | 113.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 37c | 110.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…c560backed Yes | 41c | 100.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…ea62backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…4ad3backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 63c | 80.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 15c | 79.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 63c | 79.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…b297backed Yes | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 60c | 65.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f46…b84bbacked Yes | 39c | 64.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5496…afadbacked Yes | 40c | 64.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 39c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…9c0abacked Yes | 35c | 57.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…c6a2backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…61f7backed Yes | 46c | 52.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5be…73d4backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…3c9abacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…2093backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 38c | 48.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…d310backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…9a60backed No | 63c | 46.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…576dbacked No | 63c | 45.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…1111backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…2b38backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 62c | 34.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…89c0backed No | 63c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Yes | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?this page
- Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.