TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95cd…32d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 65 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST5554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+476.3%+$5,639.24
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,359Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,359.13
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$436Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$436
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$714.99
Will Bournemouth vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST+346.9%+$620.97
Will Brentford win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$11.86
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$431.06
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+163.2%+$309.99
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+450.8%+$1,839.12
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+316.7%+$835.99
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$49.04
Will Everton win on 2024-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+163.2%+$1,516.62
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+144.7%+$1,701.28
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$162.02
Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$650.37
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+163.2%+$371.97
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+185.7%+$33.68
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+138.1%+$20.5
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,059Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+47.1%+$969.07
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$55
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+33.3%+$23.25
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$37.3
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,756Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+284.4%+$7,838.93
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+334.8%+$154
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2024, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Will Benfica beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+203%+$200.98
Will Juventus beat Manchester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+346.9%+$620.98
Will Arsenal beat Monaco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$229.98
Will Atletico Madrid beat Slovan Bratislava?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST-100%-$240
Will Club Brugge beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$31.57
Will Sporting CP beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+66.7%+$32.17
Will PSV beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+132.6%+$427.49
Will RB Leipzig beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$140
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$165
Will Stade Brestois beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$153.99
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat Bayern Munich?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$44.74
Will RB Salzburg beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$36.85
Will Bayern Munich beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$615.96
Will the match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Bayern Munich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$49.85
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat RB Salzburg?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$60.1
Will Girona beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$181.32
Will Barcelona beat Stade Brestois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$473.84
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2024, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+41.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark beat Serbia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST+56.2%+$204.84
Will Belgium beat Israel?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+189.1%+$3,461.38
Will the match between Italy and France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+44.9%+$69.44
Will Israel beat Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+595.3%+$366.65
Will England beat Ireland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Greece beat Finland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$309.66
Will Finland beat Greece?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$209.07
Will the match between England and Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$21.65
Will Slovakia beat Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$68.87
Will Turkey beat Wales?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+138.1%+$84.82
Will Georgia beat Ukraine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$181.25
Will Ukraine beat Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+56.2%+$27.4
Will Iceland beat Montenegro?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$203.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FCSB beat Olympiacos?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+44.6%+$6.97
Will Braga beat Hoffenheim?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$105.04
Will Nice beat Rangers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+111.3%+$30.82
Will Tottenham beat AS Roma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+150%+$180
Will Frankfurt beat FC Midtjylland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$86.67
Will Manchester United beat Bodo Glimt?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$37.69
Will Real Sociedad beat Ajax?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$43.76
Will Besiktas beat Maccabi TLV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+141.5%+$236.32
Will Maccabi TLV beat Besiktas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+455.6%+$221.19
Will Galatasaray beat AZ Alkmaar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+85.2%+$367.98
Will PAOK beat RFS?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$84.39
Will FC Porto beat Anderlecht?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$2,472.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Covington vs. Buckleybacked Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$169.99
Swanson vs. Quarantillobacked Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+143.9%+$91
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+53%+$546.37
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,239.13
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+38.6%+$461.33
Landwehr vs. Choibacked Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$125.26
Yan vs. Figueiredobacked Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+38.9%+$49.02
Yan vs. Riccibacked Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$1,558.69
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$371.21
Magny vs. Pratesbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$39.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$23.31
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$367.55
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,339Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+25.3%+$338.33
Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$319.04
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$163.56
Will George Russell win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+272.8%+$305.16
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$81.1
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$21.36
Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+112.9%+$746.13
Will Carlos Sainz win the Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+25%+$44.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Spirit win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+85.4%+$783.29
Will FaZe Clan win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+78.7%+$76.51
Will G2 Esports win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+78.1%+$30.52
Will MOUZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+91.6%+$40.3
Will The MongolZ win the Perfect World Shanghai Major 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$52
Will G2 win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$547.34
Will Spirit win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$636.89
Will Astralis win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$47.69
Will Vitality win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mouz win Blast Premier World Final 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Showdown: Scheffler/McIlroy vs. DeChambeau/Koepkabacked PGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$784Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+66.7%+$522.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,635.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$222.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.