F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90796741c4072105a0ba71083110776419180a39dcc68b0e67e43502d6020a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 8,400$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.74 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279d…bc0ebacked Yes | 18c | 7,909$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 8c | 5,308$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 4,942$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.67 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…b132backed Yes | 30c | 3,325$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,974$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 78c | 2,627$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0a…21ebbacked Yes | 27c | 2,251$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 9c | 2,114$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…b702backed Yes | 30c | 2,075$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,018$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 2c | 1,749$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 13c | 1,702$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.63 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 80c | 1,678$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked Yes | 15c | 1,677$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 21c | 1,622$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 70c | 1,552$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed Yes | 18c | 1,456$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Yes | 15c | 1,088$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…bb26backed Yes | 16c | 994.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…50c6backed Yes | 18c | 949.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 159 | 22%35 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 38c | 909.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f1…02bbbacked Yes | 24c | 894.72$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 16c | 839.21$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f96…a645backed Yes | 9c | 822.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +306.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed Yes | 16c | 803$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 799.96$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 73c | 754.97$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 33c | 752.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 751.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.94 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…0f3dbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…3ca4backed No | 76c | 690.74$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 73c | 638.1$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.34 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 18c | 635$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70c…1ba9backed Yes | 21c | 624.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b9…6a5ebacked Yes | 20c | 581.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…f4afbacked Yes | 11c | 550$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dec…04f8backed Yes | 24c | 541.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…07abbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401b…3107backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +261.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 27c | 484.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44c…d797backed Yes | 10c | 464.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…22fcbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e6…9b49backed Yes | 25c | 420.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +259%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…99d4backed Yes | 30c | 409.41$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cb…b1b6backed Yes | 27c | 406.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 77c | 401.55$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dc…b446backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc222…3d96backed Yes | 29c | 399.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…2e45backed No | 74c | 387$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 20c | 358.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…a14bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…f93cbacked Yes | 16c | 313.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…c75ebacked Yes | 16c | 311.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…8f61backed Yes | 11c | 306.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…e466backed Yes | 25c | 303.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed Yes | 28c | 301.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…3464backed Yes | 8c | 294.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 15c | 271.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 31c | 268$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…d484backed Yes | 15c | 264.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…a464backed Yes | 35c | 252.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed Yes | 22c | 249.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…d7c0backed Yes | 32c | 202.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…1fd0backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…5861backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…c3b5backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…f36fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…b956backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba6…1ecabacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 11c | 194.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd846…b656backed Yes | 11c | 192.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…996fbacked Yes | 23c | 191.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…c98abacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +349%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b88…198dbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…cbf5backed Yes | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 170.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 170.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb63…5241backed Yes | 8c | 170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…bbcbbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45b…c3acbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +322.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked Yes | 26c | 136.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75a…aa9fbacked Yes | 23c | 129.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…0f17backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…df75backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…2898backed Yes | 16c | 108.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0906…7acfbacked Yes | 25c | 106.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…8453backed Yes | 15c | 102.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.