F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea5d3925e3d39ca3c31a5fe4d56c9f7b6a13261f54701181fd9eb3d1123b2a40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 0c | 5,678$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 60c | 2,754$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.99 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 43c | 2,618$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.62 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 57c | 2,472$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 10c | 2,249$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 46c | 1,977$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 53c | 1,797$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.01 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Yes | 58c | 1,559$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,003$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 41c | 927.63$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…d2eabacked Yes | 58c | 856.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 56c | 844.49$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…4ad9backed Yes | 58c | 818.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 57c | 750$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed No | 43c | 742.09$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2238backed Yes | 60c | 694.59$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed No | 48c | 665.47$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked No | 4c | 551.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b3…2372backed No | 60c | 510$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 55c | 508.78$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 51c | 486.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 39c | 484.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.21 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 46c | 423.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 20c | 420.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 32c | 362.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 57c | 316.42$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 38c | 295.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…dc5fbacked Yes | 51c | 294.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…02debacked No | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 49c | 273.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 30c | 268.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 58c | 225$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…e456backed No | 45c | 224.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 45c | 224.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…9e9fbacked No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673a…22fcbacked Yes | 44c | 209.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…c7b5backed No | 45c | 191.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…9e29backed Yes | 27c | 183.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…a970backed No | 45c | 177.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f9…44a4backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…385fbacked Yes | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…532fbacked No | 37c | 163.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 37c | 154.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…64a4backed No | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…9f7ebacked Yes | 56c | 136.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 24c | 132.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…dcc2backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5456…69aebacked Yes | 57c | 129.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked Yes | 51c | 126.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…6b77backed No | 41c | 114.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes | 60c | 111.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…fb1bbacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…c256backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…9f8ebacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…1668backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…0e5bbacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…2da2backed No | 64c | 96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 35c | 95.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 58c | 93.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 74c | 85.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…c75ebacked Yes | 59c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…c9bcbacked Yes | 58c | 81.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa62…df75backed Yes | 57c | 70.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4d…846ebacked No | 45c | 68.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…fac2backed Yes | 59c | 67.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…fac2backed Yes | 58c | 60.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…2394backed No | 45c | 59.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4c…97e4backed Yes | 56c | 59.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…62f5backed Yes | 57c | 59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043a…a535backed No | 62c | 58.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…870cbacked No | 44c | 58.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…456ebacked No | 44c | 57.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591e…d5d6backed Yes | 41c | 56.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…adf1backed No | 61c | 56.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…e9a4backed No | 61c | 55.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…8fe4backed Yes | 57c | 55.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…f10ebacked No | 60c | 54.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5928…470fbacked No | 46c | 53.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…608abacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed No | 44c | 50.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1730…fc55backed No | 44c | 50.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a009backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…e24bbacked No | 45c | 48.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…af19backed No | 44c | 48.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 80c | 46.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb2…9268backed Yes | 44c | 45.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…8adabacked Yes | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?this page
- Will Carlos Sainz win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will Sergio Perez win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.