TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e60…b440

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT12419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+438.5%+$57
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+366.7%+$549.99
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+500%+$249.99
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.31
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$29.99
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.97
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$66.45
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+182.3%+$428.3
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$582.1
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$165.64
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$170.69
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$104.93
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$53.5
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$450.79
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Panduleni Itula be the next President of Namibia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$327.52
Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$60.25
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$62
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-56.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.94
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$40.5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$78.1
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$57.99
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$90
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$10.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$101.36
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+240.4%+$70.62
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$217.75
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+289%+$74.29
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,011.38
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2024, EST-100%-$25.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14.78
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Elon no longer world's richest before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.07
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39.24
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+566.7%+$170
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT90%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$743Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.56
Will Train Dreams - Train Dreams win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$651.82
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.98
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.99
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.06
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight go the distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+138.1%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jabil (JBL) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.