Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Palmeiras vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513d5c8cc04115d2edc4e3e6f97cf09180b1d53a3e39b711ffe5286a1f0c267a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea of Palmeiras, Chelsea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed Palmeiras | 33c | 32,545$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.17 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…4e28backed Chelsea | 68c | 30,091$20,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,629.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Chelsea | 80c | 25,863$20,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Palmeiras | 30c | 24,304$7,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,301.3 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…0426backed Chelsea | 66c | 16,115$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.54 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Palmeiras | 4c | 7,940$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Palmeiras | 35c | 7,051$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.85 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Chelsea | 63c | 4,403$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Chelsea | 67c | 3,684$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.58 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Palmeiras | 26c | 3,151$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.83 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Palmeiras | 33c | 3,057$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Palmeiras | 35c | 3,050$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Palmeiras | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…7566backed Palmeiras | 25c | 2,957$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Palmeiras | 32c | 2,929$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Palmeiras | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Palmeiras | 36c | 2,530$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Palmeiras | 27c | 2,421$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.89 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chelsea | 66c | 2,066$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Palmeiras | 33c | 1,988$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.11 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Chelsea | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.79 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17f8…9233backed Palmeiras | 35c | 1,518$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Palmeiras | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Chelsea | 68c | 1,235$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Chelsea | 66c | 1,150$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…fe58backed Chelsea | 69c | 1,108$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.92 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Palmeiras | 5c | 1,096$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Palmeiras | 23c | 1,019$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.19 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Chelsea | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Chelsea | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Chelsea | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Palmeiras | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Palmeiras | 36c | 971.28$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Chelsea | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Palmeiras | 33c | 890.48$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.86 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…055abacked Palmeiras | 36c | 881.39$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Palmeiras | 32c | 810.78$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Chelsea | 70c | 772.32$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.26 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Chelsea | 68c | 716$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Chelsea | 64c | 691.11$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.5 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Chelsea | 65c | 681$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.43 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…51e9backed Palmeiras | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Palmeiras | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Chelsea | 67c | 571.37$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Chelsea | 68c | 559.34$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…3e1fbacked Chelsea | 67c | 501.19$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Palmeiras | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Chelsea | 61c | 499$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…ce32backed Chelsea | 67c | 480.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Chelsea | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chelsea | 71c | 454.28$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Chelsea | 67c | 447$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Chelsea | 67c | 416.18$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Chelsea | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Palmeiras | 32c | 399.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Chelsea | 67c | 385.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…e564backed Palmeiras | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Palmeiras | 34c | 334.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Chelsea | 68c | 312.58$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Chelsea | 65c | 308.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Chelsea | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Chelsea | 66c | 304.62$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.62 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Palmeiras | 34c | 302.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Chelsea | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Palmeiras | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…3530backed Chelsea | 68c | 295.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Chelsea | 66c | 289.79$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ae…4861backed Palmeiras | 35c | 288.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Palmeiras | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…6967backed Palmeiras | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Palmeiras | 18c | 280.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Palmeiras | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9ce0backed Palmeiras | 37c | 271.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Chelsea | 65c | 255$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Palmeiras | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Chelsea | 67c | 230.62$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3c…0ab0backed Chelsea | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Palmeiras | 36c | 219.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…e0c3backed Chelsea | 67c | 211.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Chelsea | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Palmeiras | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Palmeiras | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Chelsea | 65c | 199.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc281…7ebbbacked Palmeiras | 34c | 190.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Chelsea | 64c | 186.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Palmeiras | 37c | 182.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Palmeiras | 35c | 166$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Chelsea | 66c | 165.47$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Chelsea | 63c | 164.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Chelsea | 66c | 157.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Chelsea | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f5…67efbacked Palmeiras | 37c | 154.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…e5f6backed Chelsea | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa7…04bfbacked Chelsea | 67c | 150.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Chelsea | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Palmeiras | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Chelsea | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…6dbdbacked Chelsea | 66c | 149.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…6e10backed Chelsea | 66c | 147.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…44e6backed Chelsea | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.