TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24c1…54b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4327.9%12 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33,903Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+321%+$108,816.19
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$7,702Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+187.3%+$14,422.12
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350.1
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,419.99
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$864
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$679.36
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.78
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.8
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.56
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,365.07
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,226.15
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.29
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$749.59
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$732.45
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.9
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$381.79
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$399.07
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.27
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.91
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244.97
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$967.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,613Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.3%+$2,204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$281.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$947.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.