TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

PSG vs. Real Madrid: 3+ Goals Scored?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,682 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4167…2427backed No36c24,222$8,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,761.334738.3%18 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…a655backed No0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes63c7,937$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.363946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes64c6,611$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.113464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes61c4,987$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.515350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.9812956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No37c2,347$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.4710040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf09…651fbacked No39c2,300$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes62c2,120$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.498345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc4…ff28backed Yes63c2,100$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes61c2,031$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.0912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No42c2,013$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0312147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed No40c1,988$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.126552.3%34 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No39c1,915$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.3918758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes64c1,906$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.254254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No37c1,856$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1340222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No36c1,800$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6485444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No40c1,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No38c1,200$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.4124742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes65c1,162$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.848040%32 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed No38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes63c978.49$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes63c952.38$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cec…09e3backed Yes64c951.56$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No39c912.38$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2117658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes62c905.83$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.213863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes62c893.07$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.285038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30425450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2315…abb3backed Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…089dbacked Yes65c770.35$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…fd58backed No28c733.37$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No39c705.82$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.387625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No39c638.17$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.319453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea8…2948backed Yes65c612.48$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22810543.8%46 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No39c559.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked No36c501.99$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.727742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17020667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes61c499.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No32c473.04$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.536950.7%35 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked No38c440.42$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2322054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes61c356.84$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.843243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No37c351$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8724047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed No43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f08…b729backed Yes60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.21020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-62.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.468452.4%44 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e00…d922backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d09…7bb8backed Yes62c303$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11712862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed No29c300$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d5…9562backed No6c300$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No39c290.31$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.222853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1578…fa2cbacked Yes65c286.15$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes60c282.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.236246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Yes63c271.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…d383backed Yes61c267.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+73.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed No33c259.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe781…5e52backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.92853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+123.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.14961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53a9…c519backed Yes64c235.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Yes63c217.46$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9641…ac5abacked Yes64c210.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.94862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes65c205.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.885834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.086123%14 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb47…c6e8backed Yes61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes67c168.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2224963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Yes61c164.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.47683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9328639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Yes62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2526443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c1…54b0backed No39c150$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+55.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8965…fda0backed No38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe126…56babacked No37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes67c133.43$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed No40c132.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.185545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked No40c124.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…10d9backed No42c119.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd570…932ebacked No37c107.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4078…22ddbacked Yes65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.692133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0603…2e0dbacked Yes67c101.49$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df4…3ffabacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e50…948abacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423076.7%23 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba6…4c94backed No42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ab…6b01backed No39c87.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…41f0backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed4…ee6abacked Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes62c80.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.252147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.133745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048d…a493backed Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd8…3047backed Yes61c65.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ef…8694backed Yes63c65.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516d…d14bbacked Yes61c64.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbd…32d3backed Yes70c61.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.