TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb018…8891

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.93
Mexico to score first vs. Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
France to score first vs. Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$54.3
Jonathan David: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2035%7 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Browns vs. Jetsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Lions vs. Packersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$72.8
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+170.3%+$170.27
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$178
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$23.34
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$121.87
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$86.34
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$15.97
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$355
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+99.4%+$198.81
Will Liverpool win the 2024 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$17.14
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$29.68
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$23.68
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+48.5%+$145.63
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.71
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+73.7%+$316.04
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$27.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$939.68
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,297Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$932.7
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$318.3
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,166
Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$15.85
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$330.41
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$32
Will the Liberals win the second most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.6
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$46.94
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+27.8%+$108.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+32.4%+$19.42
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$128.64
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.49
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$59.27
Will Trump impose tariff on oil from Mexico or Canada by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+100%+$61.82
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-59.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+207.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.