Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd136f80c161a40baa5890a7792a2a5bf264de0d5ef2711a23e4564b429969ff8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $189,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $173,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	21c	22,385$4,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,793.79	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	1c	10,121$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.31	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	78c	8,649$6,746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.76	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ced…c4a8backed Yes	12c	7,676$947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.85	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	13c	7,579$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.83	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	20c	5,433$1,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.8	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	19c	5,369$1,042 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,042.37	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed No	77c	4,497$3,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.87	122	54.1%66 W · 56 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	79c	4,246$3,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.42	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	17c	3,885$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.52	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	16c	3,464$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.85	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	26c	2,999$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.17	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes	9c	2,905$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.41	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	79c	2,751$2,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.59	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	80c	2,706$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.44	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c2…198cbacked Yes	21c	2,400$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504	56	7.1%4 W · 52 L	-6.1wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-74.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Yes	12c	2,368$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.35	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e4…beedbacked Yes	24c	2,181$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.27	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes	37c	1,773$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.32	151	49.7%75 W · 76 L	+13.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No	72c	1,770$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.35	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes	21c	1,700$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.91	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fe…e320backed Yes	18c	1,662$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.8	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	20c	1,616$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.05	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes	14c	1,389$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	20c	1,303$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.36	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	75c	1,169$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.48	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	69c	1,149$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.43	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Yes	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+6.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6836…5f68backed Yes	10c	837.18$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes	36c	833.33$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	48	27.1%13 W · 35 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	9c	819.84$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.79	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	15c	810.31$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.08	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	18c	765.59$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.63	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b2…f329backed Yes	19c	734.84$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.62	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	14c	716.07$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Yes	12c	625$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	84	15.5%13 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3038…e902backed Yes	19c	611.44$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191e…5d01backed Yes	19c	574.18$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	66c	572.33$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.59	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	26c	572.17$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.99	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…ae35backed Yes	11c	561.82$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	30	6.7%2 W · 28 L	-3.6wins	-0.12per pick	19cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed Yes	13c	546.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.58	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	19c	525.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.94	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…3a98backed Yes	19c	501.81$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	164	25.6%42 W · 122 L	-10.6wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b79…fe82backed Yes	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+54%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x003b…8a28backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	20c	497.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	79c	482.4$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes	19c	474.5$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.96	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e5…7127backed Yes	17c	468.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.57	101	35.6%36 W · 65 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Yes	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33b9…0231backed Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…30abbacked Yes	25c	449.48$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.79	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…942abacked Yes	10c	446$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.6	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	79c	440$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.95	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56e…1a92backed Yes	19c	437.16$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.69	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	31.8%48 W · 103 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	19c	413$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.14	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes	22c	411.81$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	311	32.2%100 W · 211 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes	18c	410.32$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.71	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb018…8891backed Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes	15c	393.06$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes	12c	375$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	256	46.5%119 W · 137 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbcc…1377backed Yes	10c	350$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	77c	333.05$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.29	208	62%129 W · 79 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…a2b1backed Yes	14c	311.08$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40de…65d6backed Yes	17c	310.48$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-53.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes	18c	306.65$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.08	106	34%36 W · 70 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	72c	304$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.12	166	46.4%77 W · 89 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes	19c	302.63$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.18	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e37…03d2backed Yes	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	24cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes	24c	294.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.17	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	78c	279.9$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.48	199	39.7%79 W · 120 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	78c	279.45$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.17	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	72c	277.44$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.07	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938d…19fcbacked Yes	21c	270$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.32	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	80c	264.25$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.85	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	19c	260.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.67	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked No	68c	257$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.06	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf579…9989backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	48.8%78 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes	19c	250$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	74	12.2%9 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	19c	244.73$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3650…d17cbacked No	68c	240$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.8	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	16c	239.41$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.14	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8b…ebe0backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02aa…4413backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	125	47.2%59 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No	75c	235$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.15	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8919…d64ebacked Yes	28c	230.31$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.49	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes	21c	219.1$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.01	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8418…efe0backed Yes	23c	217$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	49	26.5%13 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	19c	211.13$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.47	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d01…9725backed Yes	10c	205$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No	80c	201.46$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.13	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eb3…dd2dbacked No	68c	200$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f87…4d9dbacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes	28c	200$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event